The Baltimore Orioles opened the season with back-to-back wins against the Rays but have since won only one of their last five. The New York Yankees won the opener of a three game series 6-5 yesterday, but I think the home-team have an advantage on the mound here and that they'll make it count for once.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Yankees will hand the ball to CC Sabathia who took the loss in a 6-3 defeat against the Blue Jays his first outing of the season. The veteran surrendered five runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings of work. He did not face Baltimore last year but is a lowly 0-4 behind a 5.54 ERA in his last six regular-season starts at Camden Yards. The Orioles can counter with Miguel Gonzalez who was unfortunate to take the loss his first start of the season as well despite allowing only one run on three hits over 5 2/3 innings. He get zero run support from the team but can expect more help tonight. Adam Jones is hitting .304 over 56 at bats against Sabathia and J.J. Hardy has hit 10-for-29.

2. Road Woes - We've already touched upon Sabathia's recent struggles at Camden Yards, but that goes for pretty much the whole Yankees team who is 2-6 over the last eight meetings in Baltimore.

3. X-Factor - Miguel Gonzalez has limited the Yankee's line-up to a .218 batting average over 78 at bats lifetime.

Selection: This is a play on the Baltimore Orioles (10*)