The Golden State Warriors return home from a six game road trip with three wins to show for it, but they lost a thriller in their last game at Brooklyn on Monday. They host Milwaukee tonight, and the Bucks are coming off three straight losses against some of the weakest teams in the West (L.A., Denver and Utah). The home team should win in a rout tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Warriors boast the best home record in the NBA at 24-2 so far, and they've won six of their last seven home games by a double-digit margin. The Bucks have lost four straight on the road.

2. Michael Carter-Williams - Adjusting to a new PG has not been a smooth transition for the Bucks, who are averaging just 87.3 points over their last five games.

3. X-Factor - Playing on back-to-back nights has been a bad spot for the Bucks, who have failed to cover in four of their last five such situations. The Warriors have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games versus teams with a losing record.

Selection: This is a play on the Golden State Warriors(10*)