The Phoenix Suns will host Oklahoma City tonight, and they are the underdog despite playing on their home court. The Thunder come in as winners of seven straight, but I still think it's asking a lot to cover a bunch of points on the road against a better than average Phoenix team.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Suns have a winning home record (16-12), while Oklahoma City is just 13-17 on the road. The home team has won five straight in this series, and the Suns won both their home games outright during that span.

2. Injuries - The Thunder have won three straight without Kevin Durant, but those wins all came against inferior opponents. Tonight's game at Phoenix should pose a much stiffer challenge.

3. X-Factor - Playing on the road against a team with a winning record has not been a good spot to back the Thunder, who have only covered the spread in four of their last 17 such situations.

Selection: This is a play on the Phoenix Suns (10*)