The North Carolina Tar Heels are coming off a heart-breaking loss at Duke, blowing a late lead and losing 92-90 in overtime. They are back home this Saturday hosting Georgia Tech, and they are expected to cover a double-digit spread. The Yellow Jackets are coming off a home win over Clemson, and I like their chances of hanging with the Tar Heels on the road.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Yellow Jackets have a history of being a good bet on the road against teams with a winning record. They've covered the spread in 12 of their last 15 versus teams with a winning percentage greater than 60%.

2. Marcus Paige - The Tar Heels star guard has really struggled, scoring in single-digits in each of his last two games. He tallied just five points on 2-of-11 shooting in the loss at Duke.

3. X-Factor - North Carolina has really struggled defensively during a four game stretch, allowing opponents to shoot a combined 53% in those game.

Selection: This is a play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets(8*)