Duke is the better team. I don't care about the history. This is Duke's chance to turn those trends around. Duke is better on both sides of the ball. Duke should be motivated because they have a legitimate chance to play in the ACC Championship. I also found a crazy stat from Steve Mackinen. College football teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 94-15 SU and 73-31-5 ATS (70.2%) since 2016. My model has Duke winning by double digits. They're at home and playing on national TV which is what they're used to during basketball season, not October.