The Dallas Mavericks hold a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference second-round series, and I like them to cover the spread as they close out the series with a home win tonight. They're coming off a 104-92 win in OKC, and unlike many other teams, Dallas does not usually have a letdown game after a big win.

Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games.

4* PLAY ON THE MAVS.