The Iowa State Cyclones took a home loss to Iowa in Week 3, but they bounced right back with a dominant 72-20 triumph over ULM last week. I think they'll keep rolling here in this Week 5 Big 12 conference clash against the Baylor Bears.

Baylor is a perfect 3-0 SU on the season, but it is just 1-2 against the spread and the offense sputtered in last week's 21-13 win over Rice. Defensively, the Bears have yet to allow a touchdown pass, but they've not had to deal with any high-powered passing offenses yet (Stephen F. Austin, UTSA and Rice). That's about to change as Iowa State QB Brock Purdy was magnificent last time out, passing for 435 yards and three touchdowns while also adding 75 rushing yards and three scores on the ground.

We can also note that Iowa State is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 road games while the Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Cyclones have won the last two games played between the two teams and they're 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings, trends I like to continue.

10* play on Iowa State Cyclones.