The Denver Nuggets can close out this series and move on to the Western Conference Finals with a win here at Portland Thursday night. While the Nuggets are far stronger home at Pepsi Center than on the road, note that they won Game 4 here at Moda Center outright after losing a heartbreaking multiple OT Game 3 (still covered the spread).

The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in this playoffs series and have the momentum after a 124-98 home romp on Tuesday. "They just played harder than us," Enes Kanter admitted to reporters after the game. "Even the coach said, probably this was our worst basketball the last six weeks," Kanter continued. "On defense, we weren't really communicating with each other; we didn't really trust each other."

Portland might be able to win outright to force a Game 7, but I'm well happy to take the visitors to cover the spread.

Nuggets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Conference Semifinals games. Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.

10* play on Denver Nuggets.