MLB Total
(MLB) Chi Cubs vs. Cleveland,
Total: 7.00 | 100.00 Under
Result: Loss
MLB Total
Play: Over
Rating: 8*

We won with the under in Game 1 of the World Series last night, although Cleveland made it close with a three-run homer at the bottom of the eighth. New pitching matchup on Wednesday of course, and I think we'll see this contest fly over the total.

Jake Arrieta has posted a 4.91 ERA in two postseason starts this year, and he has surrendered four runs in three of his five career postseason starts. He did not face Cleveland in the regular season this year, but the current members of the Tribe are batting a combined .273 against the right-hander. Over is 12-2-3 in Arrieta's last 17 road starts.

Trevor Bauer has posted a 5.06 ERA in his two postseason starts this year, although he left his last start early in the first inning due to a finger injury. Bauer is not a pitcher to be trusted, and over is 5-0 in his last five home starts. Over is 7-0 in Cubs last seven games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, and they'll be desperate for runs and some momentum after getting shut out in last night's 6-0 defeat.