ALCS Total
(MLB) Cleveland vs. Toronto,
Total: 8.00 | -112.00 Over
Result: Win
ALCS Total
Play: Under
Rating: 8*

The Toronto Blue Jays denied the Cleveland Indians to sweep the ALCS with a 5-1 victory yesterday. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Toronto and 5-0 in the last five meetings, and I predict another low-scoring contest today.

Toronto turns to Marco Estrada (1-1, 1.65) who has been solid and a real workhorse here in the postseason, allowing only a total of three runs through 16 1/3 innings of work in two starts. The Indians hand the ball to southpaw Ryan Merritt, a 24 year old rookie with just one regular start under his belt. I don't think the Tribe would throw him out there if he wasn't ready though, and we can note that the under is 11-2-1 in Toronto's last 14 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

It's also encouraging to read the bullpen stats as Toronto's relievers are postseason-best with an 0.76 ERA while the Indians relievers have combined for a respectable 1.95 ERA. Lastly, the under is 20-7 in umpire Mike Everitt's last 27 games behind home plate and I don't see this game pushing over eight runs.