#NFL Free Pick from Mike Lundin
(NFL) Seattle vs. NY Jets,
Total: 40.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Rating: 5*

The New York Jets enter the game with a 1-2 record while averaging 20.7 points per game. They did however manage just a field goal and turned the ball over eight times(!) in last week's 24-3 loss at Kansas City. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw six interceptions and he has seven INTs on the season, considerably more than his three touchdown passes.

The Seahawks are 2-1 with both wins coming at home. They struggled big time in a 9-3 loss at LA in Week 2 but bounced back with a 37-18 rout against the Niners last week where they held SF to 254 total yardage and 12 first downs. We can note that the under is 4-0 in Seahawks last four games following a straight up win of more than 14 points and 12-4 in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game (SF had 119 passing yards last game).

Both teams are coming into this contest banged up on the offensive side of the ball. Seattle's star QB Russell Wilson is battling an ankle injury and suffered a MCL sprain on top of that in the last game. New York meanwhile has issues with its receiving corps as Eric Decker (who leads the team with 194 yards receiving) might sit out with a shoulder injury and Brandon Marshall has been impeded with a knee sprain. It will be tough for Fitzpatrick to bounce back from the worst performance of his career under those circumstances.

Yes, the under is the "square bet" and we've seen the line for the total drop a bit from the opener, but I still think there's value betting on this contest to go under the total.

Mike Lundin is 4-1 W/ Top Rated NFL ON THE SEASON! His 3-Pack of NFL Winners for Sunday features one such selection and a pair of 8* rated picks. Don't miss out!