Super Early Top Rated 10* MLB *BIG HITTER*
(MLB) Minnesota vs. Detroit,
Total: 9.50 | 102.00 Under
Result: Loss
Play: Over
Rating: 10*

We backed the over and won in Wednesday's contest between the Twins and the Tigers, and I see no reason to back the over again Thursday afternoon.

Left-hander Hector Santiago (11-8, 4.75 ERA) takes the ball for the Twins. He held Cleveland to one run on five hits and four walks through seven innings of work his last time out, but he's posted a bloated 6.05 ERA in eight day starts this season. The Tigers reached him for six runs in 6 2/3 innings back in May while he was still with the Halos. Detroit has among the best team batting averages in the league and can easily chase Santiago off the mound early, in which case he would have to hand over the ball to one of the worst bullpens in baseball.

Mike Pelfrey (4-9, 4.76 ERA) takes the ball for the Tigers. He's allowed seven runs on 15 hits spread out over 9 1/3 innings of work against Minnesota this season. Pelfrey has struggled home at Comerica Park all season where he's posted a 5.83 ERA in 11 appearances (10 starts). Detroit's bullpen is unreliable and almost as bad as the Twins', and both teams relievers have been forced to put in some heavy work lately.

Over is 4-1-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings, 32-21 in Twins' day games and 28-21-3 in Tigers' day games this season. This has all the signs of becoming another high-scoring encounter.