AAA's 10* *SIGNATURE* THU NIGHT "ART OF WAR!" (4 STRAIGHT THU. WINNERS!)
(NCAAF) East Carolina vs. Cincinnati,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -115.00 East Carolina (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on East Carolina.

I played this game the moment it came out and got a favorable -1 line, it's climbed since then, however I still love it. East Carolina will look to move back atop the AAC on Friday after its five-game winning streak was snapped to Temple on November 1st, losing five fumbles and committing 12 penalties in a sloppy, windy and rainy 20-10 road setback. It was a freak loss, if we dig a little deeper we see that there is some definite room to read between the lines as the Pirates would outgain the Owls by 293 yards and collect 30 first downs compared to Temple's 10. Cincinnati on the other hand would trash Tulane 38-14 on October 31st and has three straight wins of at least 17 points (note though that it's come over teams in the bottom half of the conference). Ultimately though, I think after their last debacle that the Pirates come to play today, QB Shane Carden was held to a season-low 217 yards and was held without a TD throw for the first time since last year's regular-season finale. For the home side, starting QB Gunner Kiel is still injured, meaning that Munchie Legaux will earn another start today. Legaux likes to get out of the pocket and run when he can, but note that East Carolina ranks eighth in the FBS in run defense and has held its last six opponents to fewer than 100 yards rushing. Note that East Carolina is a perfect 3-0 ATS the last two seasons off a loss vs. a conference foe, while Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last six when playing the role of underdog. I look for Carden and company to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover, play on EAST CAROLINA.

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