AAA's 10* TUE NIGHT "ASSASSIN!" 9-2 (82%) WEEKNIGHT NCAAF RUN!
(NCAAF) Toledo vs. Northern Illinois,
Point Spread: 5.00 | -110.00 Toledo (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Toledo.

These teams are pretty evenly matched, I think it's going to come down to a one score outcome and therefore definitely feel that the value lies in grabbing the points. Toledo is bowl eligible at 6-3 but will look to keep the momentum rolling, seeking a third straight victory today. While the Rockets have been winning, note they haven't been covering; suffice it to say, I think that changes this week. Toledo is coming off a 7 point win over Massachusetts and a 10 point victory over Kent State. NIU is 7-2 and has won three-straight. The Huskies employ a run-first offense, Cameron Stingily has 625 yards on the ground with eight TD's. QB Drew Hare can also get out of the pocket. NIU is one dimensional on offense, while Toledo is much more balanced, the team averages 250 on the ground and another 250 through the air, averaging a whopping 34 PPG. The Rockets are led by QB Logan Woodside who has 1,700 yards and 14 major score. Toledo has faced some incredibily stiff competition out of conference, which makes them that much more dangerous in MAC play in my opinion. From a trend based stand point, this is definitely a solid play, note that Toledo is 6-4 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records, while Northern Illinois is already 1-2 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival. Obviously I feel that the outright win isn't out of the question here, but in the end I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can with TOLEDO.

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