PREMIUM
AAA's VERY EARLY BIG TEN ATS SUPER-BLOWOUT! (Successful 3-2 NCAAF L/Sat!)
(NCAAF) Purdue vs. Minnesota,
Point Spread: 14.00 | -120.00 Purdue (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 14.00 | -120.00 Purdue (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Purdue.
I think Purdue comes in with a solid game-plan and keeps this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Minnesota has been getting the job done all year with tough defensive play, but it's offense is definitely it's weak point, the Boilermakers have a golden opportunity for an upset in my opinion. Purdue earned a double-digit win as a double-digit underdog two weeks ago on the road vs. Illinois, before then returning home and giving a very good Michigan State team everything it could handle last week. The Golden Gophers are a good team, but not a great team as they've beaten some middle of the road schools in MTSU, Michigan, San Jose State and Northwestern. The visitors will be concentrating on slowing down the run today, specifically David Cobb; Minnesota is 30th in the nation at 212 YPG (only 124th nationally in passing though at 119.8 YPG). QB Mitch Leidner has just 50 completed passes on the season, which is about nine per game as a team. Simply put, if you slow down the run game, you stop the Gophers, who are arguably the most one dimensional offense in the country. Suffice it to say, the shaky Purdue secondary catches a big break this week. Keying in on Cobb will be the difference here, he is the lynchpin of the Gophers entire offense. So if Purdue's QB Austin Appleby can limit his mistakes, the outright upset is very possible as the offense is averaging 34.5 PPG when he starts (note that almost a third of Minnesota's points this year have come off of turnovers). Note, already 1-0 ATS in true road games this season, Purdue is 6-5 ATS in its last 11 away from friendly confines; and note that Minnesota is only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive SU victories. The situation, the numbers and the trends all point to PURDUE as the sharp wager in this contest.
AAA Sports
I think Purdue comes in with a solid game-plan and keeps this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Minnesota has been getting the job done all year with tough defensive play, but it's offense is definitely it's weak point, the Boilermakers have a golden opportunity for an upset in my opinion. Purdue earned a double-digit win as a double-digit underdog two weeks ago on the road vs. Illinois, before then returning home and giving a very good Michigan State team everything it could handle last week. The Golden Gophers are a good team, but not a great team as they've beaten some middle of the road schools in MTSU, Michigan, San Jose State and Northwestern. The visitors will be concentrating on slowing down the run today, specifically David Cobb; Minnesota is 30th in the nation at 212 YPG (only 124th nationally in passing though at 119.8 YPG). QB Mitch Leidner has just 50 completed passes on the season, which is about nine per game as a team. Simply put, if you slow down the run game, you stop the Gophers, who are arguably the most one dimensional offense in the country. Suffice it to say, the shaky Purdue secondary catches a big break this week. Keying in on Cobb will be the difference here, he is the lynchpin of the Gophers entire offense. So if Purdue's QB Austin Appleby can limit his mistakes, the outright upset is very possible as the offense is averaging 34.5 PPG when he starts (note that almost a third of Minnesota's points this year have come off of turnovers). Note, already 1-0 ATS in true road games this season, Purdue is 6-5 ATS in its last 11 away from friendly confines; and note that Minnesota is only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive SU victories. The situation, the numbers and the trends all point to PURDUE as the sharp wager in this contest.
AAA Sports
