PREMIUM
AAA's FRIDAY NIGHT NCAAF ATS BEATDOWN! 5-2 (71%) L7 NCAAF!
(NCAAF) Fresno State vs. Boise State,
Point Spread: 17.00 | -110.00 Fresno State (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 17.00 | -110.00 Fresno State (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* ATS BEATDOWN on Fresno State.
I think these two teams are more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe so will recommend grabbing as many points as you can in this one. Both are 2-1 in MW Conf. play, both SU and ATS. To say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, especially for bettors as Boise State is 12-1 ATS in the last 13 in the series. Derek Carr and Fresno were a 3.5 point favorite last year but failed to cover in the 41-40 win. The Bulldogs came in with plenty of momentum to their last game with UNLV but would lay an egg early, allowing the Rebels to jump out to a 17-0 lead before rallying but then ultimatley falling short in a 30-27 OT setback as 9.5 point favorites. It's true that Fresno State gives up 35.6 PPG this year, but note the level of competition that it's played: gave up 52 to USC, 59 to Utah and 55 to Nebraska. What I'm saying is that these defensive numbers are skewed and need to be taken into proper context. On the other side of the field, BSU would lose 35-13 to Ole Miss, but on paper has seemed a lot better since then, but note that it's actually had a fairly easy schedule since. While some may think the two weeks off between games will help the Broncos here, I don't; note that Boise State is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after a bye-week. And note that the home side is dealing with some serious injuries, leading receiver Matt Miller is out for the year, OL Rees Odhiambo and safey Jeremy Ioane are also both questionable with illness and injury. I won't call for an outright upset, but in my opinion this is way too many points to be giving up in this important divisional matchup; play on FRESNO STATE.
AAA Sports
I think these two teams are more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe so will recommend grabbing as many points as you can in this one. Both are 2-1 in MW Conf. play, both SU and ATS. To say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, especially for bettors as Boise State is 12-1 ATS in the last 13 in the series. Derek Carr and Fresno were a 3.5 point favorite last year but failed to cover in the 41-40 win. The Bulldogs came in with plenty of momentum to their last game with UNLV but would lay an egg early, allowing the Rebels to jump out to a 17-0 lead before rallying but then ultimatley falling short in a 30-27 OT setback as 9.5 point favorites. It's true that Fresno State gives up 35.6 PPG this year, but note the level of competition that it's played: gave up 52 to USC, 59 to Utah and 55 to Nebraska. What I'm saying is that these defensive numbers are skewed and need to be taken into proper context. On the other side of the field, BSU would lose 35-13 to Ole Miss, but on paper has seemed a lot better since then, but note that it's actually had a fairly easy schedule since. While some may think the two weeks off between games will help the Broncos here, I don't; note that Boise State is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after a bye-week. And note that the home side is dealing with some serious injuries, leading receiver Matt Miller is out for the year, OL Rees Odhiambo and safey Jeremy Ioane are also both questionable with illness and injury. I won't call for an outright upset, but in my opinion this is way too many points to be giving up in this important divisional matchup; play on FRESNO STATE.
AAA Sports
