AAA's 10* EARLY SIGNATURE TOTAL "ART OF WAR!" 8-3 (73%) w/ NFL L2 SUNDAYS!
(NFL) Buffalo vs. Detroit,
Total: 43.00 | -107.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER between Buffalo and Detroit.

For a number of different reasons I believe these teams will combine to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch and will recommend a play on the OVER. So far Buffalo has seen the total go UNDER the number in all four of its games, while Detroit has seen it dip below the number in three of four, including three straight. While they haven't played against each other since 2010, it's still significant to note that the total has gone UNDER the number in five of these teams last five in the series. All of these completely lop-sided UNDER trends collide on Sunday afternoon and suffice it to say, I'm looking for a big time "correction" to occur here. As with most of my totals, this is a situationally trend based pick and it doesn't matter who is on the field of play today. So that means, if Detroit star WR Calvin Johnson doesn't play, I still love this selection; I am basing this pick on entirely different criteria than who is playing and who isn't. For the record, I don't do this with all of my picks, I use a wide variety of methodoligies and systems and believe that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to succeed in this industry. Detroit sits alone atop the division after its 24-17 victory over the Jets last week: "If anybody should know better than to get caught looking ahead, it's us," Lions' RB Reggie Bush warned earlier in the week. "Last year is a perfect example of that." The Lions have been pretty stingy on the defensive side of the ball, but despite that and also the fact that the Bills will be starting a new QB today, I believe the conditions are right for a higher-scoring shootout. Buffalo turns to veteran Kyle Orton who takes over the controls for the 2-2 Bills. Orton will be tasked in helping an offense which currently ranks 27th overall, averaging 320.8 YPG; Orton though has plenty of talent surrounding him, RB's CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson are an imposing duo to stop, while WR Sammy Watkins has big play potential as well. I think Orton and company come in focused and put some points on the board today, all signs point to the OVER as the sharp wager in this contest.

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