8* Orioles (SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT)

This pick for us here on Thursday between these two interleague sides is primarily based upon the starting pitchers, and while we really respect Justin Steele of the Cubs, we ultimately believe that Albert Suarez could or should in fact be a larger favorite in this spot, which swings the value to the undervalued home side. Note that entering Wednesday the Cubs are just 18-28 on the road, while Orioles are 29-18 at home. Steele is 1-3 with a 2.95 ERA, while Suarez is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA. Steele has pitched better than what his win/loss record would indicate, but Suarez has been exceptional in front of the home town crowd thus far and we say that consistency carries over here in his last start before the break, as he's a perfect 2-0 with a tiny 1.50 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Look for Baltimore and Suarez to do more than enough to secure a win on Thursday in front of the home town faithful!

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