10* Nuggets (NON-CONF GOW)

With the second half now underway, we're expecting the rested defending champs to send a message to the rest of the league that they're still the "big dog" in town. Washington is just 9-45 overall, including 6-22 on the road. Amazingly the Wizards though are 18-8-2 ATS away from friendly confines, as they've consistently been undervalued over the first half. But we're not buying it here. Denver is 21-5 SU at home. The Nuggets went into the break on the heels of three straight SU/ATS losses, but note that Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Look for the home side to make an example out of the Wizards, who we expect will throw in the white towel early as they prepare for their game at Oklahoma City tomorrow night; lay the points, the play is DENVER.

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