We like the Minnesota Lynx to defeat the Connecticut Sun on Tuesday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones.

The Lynx have had a better record all season and owned a 16-4 record on this court this year. Crowd should be a big part in this win-or-go-home Game 5.

In Game 3, we won with this Minnesota and we're with them again to close the series out.

Minnesota have covered the spread in four out of the seven meetings between these two this season so far.

The Lynx also have the best overall player in this series in Napheesa Collier.

After shooting 3/12 from deep last game combined, Carleton and McBride should bounce back here at home. They shot better than 40% from the three point line during the regular season.

We know that Connecticut has a strong defense. But, Minnesota also has a very capable defense, giving the edge to the better all-around offensive team.

We look for a lower scoring Game 5 with the home team winning this one by at least five points.

AAA Sports