10* Falcons (NFC SOUTH GOM)

Atlanta actually opened up as a 7.5-point favorite, and this one has since dropped to right around 4.5. I see a lot of public money on the Bucs here despite the fact that they'll almost assuredly rest most or all of their starters after clinching the NFC South last weekend. I'd say, let's give this one the good ole eye test this weekend. I'm going to go contrarian here. I think the public is wrong on this one. Tom Brady and Mike Evans got their act together last week to clinch, but overall this has been a really difficult year for the Bucs. And that's for many different reasons obviously, but injury was the biggest reason for the slight step back this year for Tampa Bay. The Falcons are 6-10 after beating the Cardinals 20-19 last weekend. Atlanta could have easily thrown in the towel, but its still playing hard here at the end of the year. It also plays with revenge here after a 21-15 loss to Tampa in Week 5. I think Desmond Ridder and the Falcons are the correct call. This is their SUPER BOWL, final home game of the season, there's no way they lose this one to the Buccaneers backups; lay the points, the play is the Falcons!

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