10* TOTAL ASSASSIN - +$37K NBA $URGE!
(NBA) Dallas vs. San Antonio,
Total: 227.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
10* UNDER Mavs/Spurs (ASSASSIN)

Anyone that's followed me for any length of time knows that I base my picks on MANY different things. I've always felt that the best way to secure profits over the long-term is to be flexible with your approach. Sometimes it's necessary to completely dissect a game, looking at every tiny factor possible, but other times a more "common sense" approach is the best way to handicap. And that's the case here for this one. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting a more defensive affair here. Dallas is coming off three straight high-scoring home victories (note though that the Mavericks have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.) San Antonio is coming off a 122-115 home win over New York, and it's now seen the total fly "over" the number in five straight (which is significant to note for us, as the Spurs have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row.) The overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this one, combined with the strong O/U ATS stats listed above, makes the "under" the correct call in this on in my opinion!

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