10* OVER Spurs/Warriors (WEST-CONF TOW)

This one sets up as a classic "shootout" in my opinion. San Antonio is 6-7 this year, while the defending champs are just 5-8. The Spurs are off a 11-93 win at home over Milwaukee, which is significant to note here in our case, as San Antonio has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 95 or fewer points in. This is the opener of a really tough road trip for San Antonio, with a game Portland tomorrow night, followed by the Kings, the Clippers and Lakers. The Warriors have clearly been "out of sync" this season. They're off a 122-115 loss at Sacramento. They've seen the total go "under" in four straight, but I expect the Warriors to bounce back offensively against this suspect San Antonio defense. This one sets up as a higher-scoring shootout, so the play is the "over!"

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