10* Leafs puckline (EAST-CONF GOM)

I expect Toronto to not only win tonight, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Philadelphia is 5-2-2, and Toronto is 4-4-2. The Flyers are 8-1 on the puckline this year though, while the Leafs are 1-9 on the puckline. The law of averages is flawed in many ways, but I've always felt that lop-sided numbers have a way of naturally correcting themselves over the short, the mid and the long-term. More than anything though, this is a great situational play. The Flyers come in here dog tired after their 1-0 OT loss at New York just last night. Toronto has had a couple nights off after a 4-3 OT loss at Anaheim. The Leafs have a tough stretch of upcoming games here: Boston, Carolina, Vegas, Pittsburgh, Vancouver, Pittsburgh and New Jersey after this. So far the Leafs have disappointed on the offensive end, but the overall situation here points finally to a lop-sided blowout here for Toronto; the play is the Leafs on the puckline option!

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