10* PHILLIES RUNLINE (GOW)

The Phillies swept a 3-game series over the Marlins on the road before the All-Star break, but they returned and promptly got swept by the Cubs over the weekend. I say Philadelphia digs deep here and rebounds at home vs. the Braves. The home side turns to Ranger Suarez, who is a great backend pitcher and who is 7-5 with a 4.07 ERA this season. He'll be opposed by Max Fried, who is 10-3 with a 2.64 ERA. Fried allowed 7 hits and 3 runs over 7 innings vs. the Nationls in his last outing, but he won't have slugger Adam Duvall in the line-up to back him up after injuring himself on Saturday. The Braves were unable to sweep the Angels over the weekend, as they dropped the final game by a score of 9-1 on Sunday. I expect Suarez to step up here and I believe the hungrier team offers great value in this matchup. That said, in the end I feel most comfortable laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Philly on the runline option!

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