10* UNDER (ASSASSIN)

These teams were really good defensively in the regular season, so it's a bit of a surprise that all four games so far have flown "over" the posted number. For a number of different reasons though, I think this Game 5 total is now a bit too high. Denver managed the 126-121 win as a 4.5-point underdog in Game 4 to keep its hopes alive. The Nuggets have a recent history of coming back in series when down 3-1 and after watching the Raptors win on the road last night to force a Game 6, Nikola Jokic and company will be confident here that they can do the same. To do that though, they'll have to play tight defense and once again run their offense through their reigning MVP. Golden State has actually seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent as a favorite. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the UNDER.

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