10* ASSASSIN (OFF 3-0 PERFECT SWEEP!)
(NBA) Miami vs. Toronto,
Total: 210.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN)

Looking at team's offensive and defensive numbers to make your decision when it comes to an Over/Under pick is always a great place to start. Then looking at recent form is another good place to go, followed by scheduling, the revenge factor, trends, any lop-sided numbers, where the public money is, among a few other important things. However, sometimes just plain old "common sense" is the best approach to handicapping a contest I've found. And that's DEFINITELY the case here. Miami has seen the total go over in 6 straight. It's running out of gas right now though, most recently falling 122-92 at Boston. Somehow the Heat have maintained their lead in the East despite significant injury. The Raptors are off B2B road victories, most recently beating a red hot Atlanta team 106-100 just last night. Looks like fatigue will be an issue for the home side. When you add it all up, everything points to a defensive affair here; the play is the under!

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