10* Broncos (AFC WEST GOY)

Outright victory? Nah, we're not calling for that. But we do feel that KC will let the foot off the gas enough in the second half to allow the hungry Broncos to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel is a large amount of points here. KC is 1-1 SU/ATS at home and returns home after two straight road victories at the Jets and Vikings. It's a potential letdown spot for the now surging Chiefs, who have another divisional home game next week vs. the Chargers. Denver is on the ropes. Clearly Sean Payton can't be too happy about the team he chose to come back to. It's do or die, now or never for Russell Wilson and the Broncos, who fell 31-21 at home to the Jets last weekend. The offense though is still a lot better than it was last year in averaging 24.2 PPG. The issue has been on the defensive side, allowing 36.2 PPG, including the 70-20 loss to Miami. We think Denver's defense won't have to worry about the Chiefs running up the score here, while at the same time we expect Wilson to be able to move the ball. This is just too many points; the play is Denver!

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