This is a 10* on OVER

The big surprise of this Eastern Conference semifinal is that all four games have stayed Under the total. Basically, ever since the first half of Game 1, scoring has come to a grinding halt between the Nets and Bucks. The four games haven’t just gone Under; they’ve all stayed Under by double digits. Game 1 stayed Under by 17.5 points, Game 2 stayed Under by 27 points, Game 3 stayed Under by a record-setting 66 points (!) and Game 4 stayed Under by 26 points. Brooklyn will also be without James Harden and Kyrie Irving for Game 5. So what we have is a somewhat unprecedented shift in the O/U line. We’re currently looking at more than a 20-point difference in where the number opened for Game 1 to what it is for Game 5. The value is now with the Over. Kevin Durant certainly can carry the scoring load for the Nets. He could easily go for 40+ tonight. Back at home, his teammates will shoot better than they have the previous two games. Milwaukee hasn’t shot the ball all that well either in this series and that can change in a heartbeat. We haven’t seen a total this low for either team in quite some time. Play on OVER

AAA