7-game NFL
(NFL) New England vs. Chicago,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -115.00 New England (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that the Patriots are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 after two or more consecutive SU wins and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 against teams with winning records, while the Bears are just 6-7 ATS in their last 13 against teams with winning records and only 3-5 ATS in their last eight when the line in the contest is set between +3 and -3.

The bottom line: The Bears were finally exposed in last week's humbling home loss to the Dolphins, while Tom Brady and company come in off their best game of the year in last week's huge victory at home over the Chiefs. We expect the PATRIOTS to build off their performance. Lay the points.

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