AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT "RED DRAGON!" (8-3 ALL MON/THU NFL PICKS YTD!)
(NFL) Denver vs. Arizona,
Point Spread: 1.50 | -110.00 Arizona (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Arizona Cardinals.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Denver just 2-4 ATS in its last ten as a road favorite of three points or less and only 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Arizona is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of three points or less and 7-3 ATS in its last ten against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: Home field turns out to be the difference between these two bottom feeders. Play on the CARDINALS.

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