AAA's 10* SUN-BELT CONF SIDE OF WEEK (9-2, 81% "GOW" RUN!)
(NCAAB) Troy vs. Georgia State,
Point Spread: -6.00 | -106.00 Georgia State (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* SUN-BELT CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on Georgia State.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Troy is just 11-19 ATS in its last 20 after a loss against a conference rival and only 3-5 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Georgia State is already 2-0 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games.

The bottom line: The Panthers have not just lost three straight ATS, they've also dropped three straight SU. Combined with the 54-53 loss to Troy last year, all signs point to a big bounce back tonight. Play on GEORGIA STATE.

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