AAA's ULTRA EARLY 3-GM NBA REPORT (includes 10* TOTAL OF WEEK!)
(NBA) Houston vs. Miami,
Total: 205.50 | -107.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Houston Rockets and the Miami Heat.

When the smoke clears at the end of this one, we're looking for this total to eclipse the posted number. Houston will be desperate today to avoid its first 0-3 opening since 2010 and because of that, we're expecting the visiting side to push the pace of this one from start to finish. A faster paced game = more shots and more shots = more points. After stumbling against Denver to open the season, the Warriors rolled into town and beat the Rockets 112-92 on Friday. After averaging 103.2 points (sixth in the NBA) last season, Houston so far has struggled offensively. But a game against the Heat is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as the Rockets have won three of the last four meetings, including a two-game sweep last year, behind an average of a whopping 108.3 points and 50.3 percent shooting. After beating Charlotte in its opener, Miami fell 102-92 to the Cavaliers on Friday; the Heat won't be simply rolling over today, the "revenge" factor is a powerful motivator that works in our favor today as well. Note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in 19 of its last 29 after a loss by ten points or more, while Miami has seen the total sail above the posted number in six of its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less. Play on the OVER.

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