This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the the Houston Astros.

For a number of different reasons we believe that the Houston Astros and Dallas Keuchel are worth the price of admission in this spot. The visitors hand the ball to Alfredo Simon (10-6, 4.74 ERA), who was shelled for six runs over 6 2/3's innings vs. Boston on Saturday. He was lucky to receive a no-decision and all signs would point to another tough outing here vs. the hard-hitting Astros as Simon owns a poor 5.64 ERA away from friendly confines. Keuchel (13-6, 2.40 ERA) will be extra motivated here as well after taking a hard luck loss vs. the A's on Friday, the south-paw would match a season-high with 10 hits allowed, but gave up just three runs over 7 2/3's innings in the 3-1 setback. Keuchel is 3-3 with a respectable 3.57 ERA over his past six starts and has to be feeling pretty confident here, he's been unbeatable at home this season, a perfect 10-0 with a minuscule 1.26 ERA. We're banking on the AL starting All-Star to finish the season strong and believe the massive talent discrepancy on the mound today absolutely justifies in laying this larger price. Play on the ASTROS.

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