This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Kansas City Royals.

We feel we're getting great value here, some times a favorite is a favorite for a reason, but in our opinion, Edinson Volquez and the Royals should in fact be much larger ones. The visitors hand the ball to John Danks (6-8, 4.80 ERA), who despite giving up one run and three hits over 5 2/3's innings, including handing out four walks, would come away with the victory over the Yanks on Saturday. Note though that if Danks has displayed one weakness this season, it's clearly been his play on the road where he's just 2-5 with a ballooned 6.29 ERA (also a sub-par 4-5 with a 5.20 ERA in all "night" games). Volquez (10-6, 3.20 ERA) is coming off a decent outing, but took the 5-2 loss to the Jays on Sunday, allowing two runs off four hits over six innings, while also striking out three in the process. Volquez has to be feeling pretty confident today about a bounce back though as he's 6-2 with a tiny 2.74 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season. No need to over-think this one, for the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching and without question this one sets up as one of the biggest mismatches on the board. Lay the price with confidence on the ROYALS.

AAA Sports