AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NBA) Cleveland vs. Golden State,
Point Spread: -8.00 | -107.00 Golden State (Home)
Result: Win
1* Free Play Golden State Warriors.

I played Golden State as a FREE PLAY in Game 4 and if you didn't get a chance to see that analysis, it's worth a quick read right here as for the most part, the reasoning behind it also directly applies to this selection:

Are you surprised that the Cavaliers are up 2-1 in the finals? In reality, Cleveland could very well be up 3-0 after losing in OT in Game 1. The Cavs have "flipped the script" in this series, they've grounded Golden State's high-flying offense and are getting the job done with hard-nosed defensive play, rugged rebounding and tough work in the paint. Matthew Dellavedova has seemingly come out of no where to become a big part of these finals, his defensive work on Stephan Curry has been exemplary, but the feisty Cavaliers guard would be hospitalized after the Game 3 victory with severe cramping. Dellavedova will be back on the court in Game 4, but this is finally an area that Curry and company can take advantage of. The Warriors can turn the momentum in this series back into their favor with a win in this contest and would once again be the favs heading back home. Easier said than done obviously, but I definitely like their chances to rebound here. Note that Golden State is already 1-0 ATS this year when trailing in a playoff series and 6-1 ATS in the same position over the last two (it's also 15-8 ATS this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent). I'm not writing off the Warriors in this series and think that we clearly haven't seen their best effort yet. Consider a second look at GOLDEN STATE in this one.

"Momentum" is a very real thing, the Warriors have regained their swagger after the Game 4 victory and are now once again in the drivers seat in this best of three series. Injuries and fatigue have clearly caught up to LeBron James and company, while as I mentioned in my Game 4 free play write-up above, I still think that we have not seen Golden State's best effort yet. Note that Cleveland is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight in Golden State, while the Warriors are 23-2 SU their last 25 in front of the home town crowd. Look for the home side to finally take advantage of familiar surroundings as it gets out and pushes the pace of this one from the opening tip until the final horn. I think the WARRIORS are definitely worthy of a second look in Game 5.

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