PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SIGNATURE ART OF WAR (12-4 +$8,600 PLAYOFF TOTALS!)
(NBA) Dallas vs. Houston,
Total: 222.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 222.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Dallas Mavericks and the Houston Rockets.
These two teams have seen the total go OVER the number in three of four so far in this series, but with the highest number set so far, I finally expect each side to play a bit of defense today and ultimately expect this total to fall below the posted number once the final horn sounds. What more can be said about these two teams at this point of the season that hasn't literally been said a million times by all of the different experts and analysts; suffice it to say, if you're wagering on this contest, you know what these two teams are all about and hearing an in depth player analysis from a professional sports handicapper is not what you want. What you want is for me to explain to you why these teams are going to combine to hit the lower number and as with almost all of my over/under packages and especially in the postseason, I simply feel this is a great situational play. Obviously for the Mavericks, they're going to be desperate here, a loss means that they'll be on the golf course by Wednesday and while they were able to outscore the Rockets on their home floor and stave off the inevitable for at least another contest, I can't see this team trying to get into another track meet in Houston and therefore expect the visitors to try and slow this game down from the opening tip. A slower-paced game = less shots and less shots = less points (also note that many of the Mavericks shooters have struggled in Houston, especially Dirk Nowitzki). Note that the Mavericks have seen the total go UNDER the number in 24 of 43 road games this year and in three of four as a road underdog in the 6.5 to 9 points range. And note that Houston has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of ten as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range this year and interestingly in 29 of 48 vs. poor defensive teams that allow 99-plus points per contest. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
These two teams have seen the total go OVER the number in three of four so far in this series, but with the highest number set so far, I finally expect each side to play a bit of defense today and ultimately expect this total to fall below the posted number once the final horn sounds. What more can be said about these two teams at this point of the season that hasn't literally been said a million times by all of the different experts and analysts; suffice it to say, if you're wagering on this contest, you know what these two teams are all about and hearing an in depth player analysis from a professional sports handicapper is not what you want. What you want is for me to explain to you why these teams are going to combine to hit the lower number and as with almost all of my over/under packages and especially in the postseason, I simply feel this is a great situational play. Obviously for the Mavericks, they're going to be desperate here, a loss means that they'll be on the golf course by Wednesday and while they were able to outscore the Rockets on their home floor and stave off the inevitable for at least another contest, I can't see this team trying to get into another track meet in Houston and therefore expect the visitors to try and slow this game down from the opening tip. A slower-paced game = less shots and less shots = less points (also note that many of the Mavericks shooters have struggled in Houston, especially Dirk Nowitzki). Note that the Mavericks have seen the total go UNDER the number in 24 of 43 road games this year and in three of four as a road underdog in the 6.5 to 9 points range. And note that Houston has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of ten as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range this year and interestingly in 29 of 48 vs. poor defensive teams that allow 99-plus points per contest. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
