PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *Cavs/Celtics* Game 3 TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER (6-0 w/ NBA TOTALS!)
(NBA) Cleveland vs. Boston,
Total: 204.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 204.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Boston Celtics.
For a number of different reasons I expect this total to fall below the posted number once the final horn sounds. I played the OVER in Game 1 and the UNDER in Game 2 and if you did not have a chance to read that analysis, I believe it's worth a look as for the most part, it also directly pertains to tonight's reasoning:
I played the OVER in Game 1, but for a number of different reasons I expect this total to fall below the posted number once the final horn blares. The Cavs were out of sync to begin the contest and allowed Boston to shoot 57.1 percent in the first quarter, clearly contributing to the game eclipsing the number as it came down the stretch, the home side eventually securing the 113-100 victory. I simply can't see the Cavs having a similar "brain fart" now that their pre-playoff jitters are out of the way. Boston of course has its hands full on both ends of the court, note though that the Celtics have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in five of eight this year as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. And note that Cleveland has seen the total dip below the posted number in 29 of 36 games this year vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99 plus points per contest and in 24 of 42 vs. good offensive teams that score 99 plus points per contest. After an explosive start in Game 1, these teams settled down in the second half and I expect that trend to carry over here, play on the UNDER.
Another solid situational play today, it's do-or-die essentially for the C's, expect the team as a whole to body up on the Cavs today. And expect this style of game to slow down the flow as a slower game = less shots and less shots = less points. Also note that Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER the number in 30 of its last 47 vs. poor defensive teams that allow 99 plus points per contest, while Boston has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last six when trailing in a playoff series. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
For a number of different reasons I expect this total to fall below the posted number once the final horn sounds. I played the OVER in Game 1 and the UNDER in Game 2 and if you did not have a chance to read that analysis, I believe it's worth a look as for the most part, it also directly pertains to tonight's reasoning:
I played the OVER in Game 1, but for a number of different reasons I expect this total to fall below the posted number once the final horn blares. The Cavs were out of sync to begin the contest and allowed Boston to shoot 57.1 percent in the first quarter, clearly contributing to the game eclipsing the number as it came down the stretch, the home side eventually securing the 113-100 victory. I simply can't see the Cavs having a similar "brain fart" now that their pre-playoff jitters are out of the way. Boston of course has its hands full on both ends of the court, note though that the Celtics have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in five of eight this year as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. And note that Cleveland has seen the total dip below the posted number in 29 of 36 games this year vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99 plus points per contest and in 24 of 42 vs. good offensive teams that score 99 plus points per contest. After an explosive start in Game 1, these teams settled down in the second half and I expect that trend to carry over here, play on the UNDER.
Another solid situational play today, it's do-or-die essentially for the C's, expect the team as a whole to body up on the Cavs today. And expect this style of game to slow down the flow as a slower game = less shots and less shots = less points. Also note that Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER the number in 30 of its last 47 vs. poor defensive teams that allow 99 plus points per contest, while Boston has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last six when trailing in a playoff series. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
