This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Michigan State.

While I do believe the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect MSU to at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I feel to be a healthy amount of points afforded to it today. Note that this is a revenge game for the Spartans who were routed by the Blue Devils back in November. Both of these teams have pretty much run roughshod over their competition so far and for the most part in the Tournament and these schools matchup pretty well against each other. Duke has not been unbeatable this year though, it looked pretty ordinary in losses to UNC and Miami. This play is almost entirely based on some very strong ATS trends though, as note that Michigan State is a perfect 4-0 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest, while Duke is just 6-10 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less. I feel that the TROJANS defense is getting little respect today.

AAA Sports