PREMIUM
AAA's 10* BIG TEN SUPER BLOWOUT!
(NCAAB) Nebraska vs. Purdue,
Point Spread: 7.50 | -106.00 Nebraska (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 7.50 | -106.00 Nebraska (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Nebraska.
While I do feel that the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I look for the visitors to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I deem to be a healthy amount of points afforded to them in this one. I think this sets up as a classic "spot" bet for us here, Nebraska will surely be the "hungrier" team after losing two straight, most recently a 65-55 loss to No. 5 Wisconsin on Tuesday; Terran Petteway led the way for the Huskers with 23 points and eight boards in the setback. Nebraska will also be eager to notch its first Big Ten road win of the season and it will have to continue its tough defensive play, holding its opposition to just 60.6 points per game on 40 percent shooting this season (note surprisingly, the Huskers are tied for first in scoring defense and fourth in field goal percentage defense in the Big Ten). Purdue has been awesome, but has been playing "over its head" in my opinion so far this year, it's not too hard to imagine the Boilermakers coming in a bit complacent here after winning five of their last six, including a 61-51 win at Rutgers on Thursday night. These teams are actually pretty evenly matched in my opinion, more so than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, but from a trend based stand point, they don't get much stronger than this, as note that Nebraska is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Purdue is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to NEBRASKA as the sharp move in this contest.
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While I do feel that the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I look for the visitors to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I deem to be a healthy amount of points afforded to them in this one. I think this sets up as a classic "spot" bet for us here, Nebraska will surely be the "hungrier" team after losing two straight, most recently a 65-55 loss to No. 5 Wisconsin on Tuesday; Terran Petteway led the way for the Huskers with 23 points and eight boards in the setback. Nebraska will also be eager to notch its first Big Ten road win of the season and it will have to continue its tough defensive play, holding its opposition to just 60.6 points per game on 40 percent shooting this season (note surprisingly, the Huskers are tied for first in scoring defense and fourth in field goal percentage defense in the Big Ten). Purdue has been awesome, but has been playing "over its head" in my opinion so far this year, it's not too hard to imagine the Boilermakers coming in a bit complacent here after winning five of their last six, including a 61-51 win at Rutgers on Thursday night. These teams are actually pretty evenly matched in my opinion, more so than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, but from a trend based stand point, they don't get much stronger than this, as note that Nebraska is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Purdue is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to NEBRASKA as the sharp move in this contest.
AAA Sports
