PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION!
(NCAAB) East Carolina vs. Connecticut,
Point Spread: -13.50 | -106.00 Connecticut (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -13.50 | -106.00 Connecticut (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* on Connecticut.
For a number of different reasons (mainly strong trend based ones), I expect the home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. This is the first meeting between the schools since 1978 as East Carolina (9-12, 2-6 American) shifted conferences this season. The Huskies (11-9, 4-4 American) are 7-3 SU in home games this year and I think will present major matchup issues for the Pirates today. The home side will be especially motivated after falling 70-68 to Houston on the road, a game in which senior captain Ryan Boatright scored a career-high 31 points in the losing effort. It was tough one to swallow as the Huskies would in fact win the rebound battle 51-35. Conversely, I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors after they broke a three-game slide with a 50-46 win over Cincinnati over the weekend, rallying from a nine-point second half deficit to secure the game. Note that it was just ECU's second conference win as it's averaging just 56.1 points in league play thus far. Note that East Carolina is just 1-6 ATS in true road games this year, while UConn is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 off a loss vs. a conference rival. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the HUSKIES as the sharp wager in this one.
AAA Sports
For a number of different reasons (mainly strong trend based ones), I expect the home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. This is the first meeting between the schools since 1978 as East Carolina (9-12, 2-6 American) shifted conferences this season. The Huskies (11-9, 4-4 American) are 7-3 SU in home games this year and I think will present major matchup issues for the Pirates today. The home side will be especially motivated after falling 70-68 to Houston on the road, a game in which senior captain Ryan Boatright scored a career-high 31 points in the losing effort. It was tough one to swallow as the Huskies would in fact win the rebound battle 51-35. Conversely, I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors after they broke a three-game slide with a 50-46 win over Cincinnati over the weekend, rallying from a nine-point second half deficit to secure the game. Note that it was just ECU's second conference win as it's averaging just 56.1 points in league play thus far. Note that East Carolina is just 1-6 ATS in true road games this year, while UConn is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 off a loss vs. a conference rival. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the HUSKIES as the sharp wager in this one.
AAA Sports
