This is an 8* ATS BLOWOUT on Siena.

For a number of different reasons (mainly strong trend based ones), I look for the home side to at the very least keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. This certainly won't be easy, Rider is 14-8 overall and 8-3 in MAAC play and has been getting the job done behind a smothering defense. However, after winning seven straight on the road, I think the Broncos finally have a letdown here. Siena is just 8-12 and 5-6 in the MAAC and will be especially "hungry" here after falling 87-79 at Manhatten on Friday; in all five Saints would score in double figures. This is also a revenge game for the home side after falling 80-68 to Rider on December 7th. Siena was actually picked to finish second in the MAAC this year, so performance to date is a definite disappointment. Note thought that Rider is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a win vs. a conference rival, while Siena is a perfect 3-0 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to SIENA as the savvy move in this one.

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