AAA's O/U COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS (+$51,290 NBA RUN CONT!)
(NBA) Sacramento vs. New York,
Total: 199.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Push
This is an 8* O/U COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Sacramento Kings and the New York Knicks.

If you're like me, you can't wait until the next day's lines come out. I'm just waiting, clicking refresh the for the following day's lines and when they do finally hit the board, some times I'll jump on a line right away and in others I'll wait. Some times it's beneficial to jump on a line right away, and some times it doesn't work out as I expected, the line moving the other way by the time it closes. In this case, I jumped on an initial line and have gotten a very favorable one (202.5), but regardless, I still love this play at 199 (what it is currently at as of writing) as for a number of different reasons I feel that all signs point to a more methodical contest with the total ultimatley falling below the posted number. Both teams will be highly motivated here and I expect this extra intensity to show itself on the defensive end of the floor. Sacramento is in danger of losing seven straight for the first time since last January. The Kings will be highly motivated as well to atone for their last outing, a 126-101 setback to the Warriors in which they allowed Klay Thompson to score 52 points, including 37 in the third quarter. Sacramento would hold on to beat the Knicks 135-129 in OT at home on December 27th and will need to be wary of Carmelo Anthony, who returns after resting his sore knee on Saturday. New York would lose 76-71 with Anthony sidelined to Charlotte last time out, ending a three-game win skein. From a situational stand point, I think this is a very strong play, but it becomes even stronger when taking into account some strong UNDER trends which each side has exhibited in this particular position, as note that Sacramento has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of seven this year when playing with two days of rest, while New York has seen it go UNDER the number in 14 of 25 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99 plus points per contest and in 12 of 21 home games overall. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the UNDER as the sharp move in this matchup.

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