PREMIUM
AAA's 10* AFTERNOON PAC-12 "ASSASSIN!" (+$4,210 w/ 10* NCAAB!)
(NCAAB) UCLA vs. Oregon,
Point Spread: -3.00 | -106.00 Oregon (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -3.00 | -106.00 Oregon (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Oregon.
For a number of different reasons I look for the home side to find a way to get the job done ATS today. As I like to say, "desperation breeds motivation," there's no question in my mind which team will be the hungrier today as the Ducks have lost three consecutive games. Both these teams are actually hovering around the bottom of league standings, UCLA won three straight before then regressing in its 66-55 loss at Oregon State last time out. The Bruins are ranked as the No. 6 team in the nation with 41.3 rebounds per game, but the Ducks are right behind at No. 19, averaging 39.8 per contest. Oregon has an advantage in the backcourt I think, the Bruins actually have the highest scoring guards in the conference, but the combination of the Ducks three-guard scheme will give the duo a lot of trouble in my opinion. Also note, UCLA is extremely thin, it uses a seven man rotation, we can expect Oregon to pound the ball down low as to get the Bruins in foul trouble and then UCLA will simply have no one to turn to. And from a trend based stand point, they don't get much stronger than this, note that UCLA is a brutal 1-8 ATS in its last nine true road games, while Oregon is 20-2 SU its last 22 in front of the home town crowd. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the DUCKS as the sharp move in this one.
AAA Sports
For a number of different reasons I look for the home side to find a way to get the job done ATS today. As I like to say, "desperation breeds motivation," there's no question in my mind which team will be the hungrier today as the Ducks have lost three consecutive games. Both these teams are actually hovering around the bottom of league standings, UCLA won three straight before then regressing in its 66-55 loss at Oregon State last time out. The Bruins are ranked as the No. 6 team in the nation with 41.3 rebounds per game, but the Ducks are right behind at No. 19, averaging 39.8 per contest. Oregon has an advantage in the backcourt I think, the Bruins actually have the highest scoring guards in the conference, but the combination of the Ducks three-guard scheme will give the duo a lot of trouble in my opinion. Also note, UCLA is extremely thin, it uses a seven man rotation, we can expect Oregon to pound the ball down low as to get the Bruins in foul trouble and then UCLA will simply have no one to turn to. And from a trend based stand point, they don't get much stronger than this, note that UCLA is a brutal 1-8 ATS in its last nine true road games, while Oregon is 20-2 SU its last 22 in front of the home town crowd. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the DUCKS as the sharp move in this one.
AAA Sports
