AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NBA) Houston vs. Phoenix,
Total: 220.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
1* Free Play UNDER Rockets/Suns.

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We have a couple of the league's highest scoring teams going head-to-head on Friday night, but for a number of different reasons (mainly strong O/U trend based ones), I look for the total to sneak below this sky-high number. This can still be a higher-scoring affair and fall UNDER what I feel is a ridiculously high total. I think the high-flying Suns are primed for a letdown here, they're coming off a thrilling 118-113 victory over Portland on Wednesday, the teams seventh straight win in front of the home town crowd. The Rockets are also coming off a high-scoring affair, but they would come up short in falling 126-113 to Golden State on Wednesday. It was Houston's third loss in its last five games. A date vs. the Suns is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked in my opinion though, surely the Rockets will be putting an added emphasis on the defensive end of the floor tonight after allowing 126 to the Warriors, but note that when these teams played on December 6th, Houston would overcome 24 turnovers in the 100-95 victory (note that the Rockets have won three straight in the series). I think we'll see a much better effort defensively from Houston today, while the Rockets have given up 120 in three of their last five games, remember they were in fact tied for second in the league in scoring defense as of January 13th. It's interesting to note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of 20 this season vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99 plus points per contest, while Phoenix has seen the total dip below the posted number in 12 of 20 this year after allowing 105 points or more. In my opinion, the UNDER is definitely worth a second look in this one.

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