PREMIUM
AAA's 10* "ART OF WAR!" (+$51,690 NBA RUN CONT!)
(NBA) Indiana vs. Atlanta,
Point Spread: 10.50 | -110.00 Indiana (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 10.50 | -110.00 Indiana (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Indiana Pacers.
For a number of different reasons I expect the visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Anyone that's followed me for any length of time knows that I am primarily a situational handicapper. That said, I don't conform to any one particular handicapping methodology and believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to take advantage of longterm profits. One angle that I do always like to take advantage of is lopsided numbers or trends. Atlanta is playing unbelievably this season, it's 18-2 SU in its last 20 and an amazing 17-3 ATS, covering the spread in its last 11 straight. Indiana had more questions than answers coming into this season and wasn't expected to do that well, it's certainly been struggling of late, not only has it lost five straight SU, it's also lost six straight ATS. While I will admit that the "Law of averages" is flawed in many ways, I have always believed that lop-sided numbers and trends have a way of naturally "correcting" themselves over the short, mid and long term. These two massively lop-sided trends collide on Wednesday night, in my opinion clearly putting the value on the Pacers in this one. Now throw in the fact that the visitors play with double revenge from two losses this season, and this play becomes even stronger. But finally, take note that this is a spot that Indiana has actually performed very well in for bettors as it's 14-9 ATS on the road this year and 13-6 ATS after a non-conference game. And note that this is a position in which the Hawks have actually struggled in, they're a poor 3-4 ATS this season after allowing 85 points or less (coming off a 93-82 win over the Pistons on Monday). While I won't be so bold as to call for an outright win, I do think that the writing is on the wall and a competitive game is in the cards, grab as many points as you can with the PACERS.
AAA Sports
For a number of different reasons I expect the visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Anyone that's followed me for any length of time knows that I am primarily a situational handicapper. That said, I don't conform to any one particular handicapping methodology and believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to take advantage of longterm profits. One angle that I do always like to take advantage of is lopsided numbers or trends. Atlanta is playing unbelievably this season, it's 18-2 SU in its last 20 and an amazing 17-3 ATS, covering the spread in its last 11 straight. Indiana had more questions than answers coming into this season and wasn't expected to do that well, it's certainly been struggling of late, not only has it lost five straight SU, it's also lost six straight ATS. While I will admit that the "Law of averages" is flawed in many ways, I have always believed that lop-sided numbers and trends have a way of naturally "correcting" themselves over the short, mid and long term. These two massively lop-sided trends collide on Wednesday night, in my opinion clearly putting the value on the Pacers in this one. Now throw in the fact that the visitors play with double revenge from two losses this season, and this play becomes even stronger. But finally, take note that this is a spot that Indiana has actually performed very well in for bettors as it's 14-9 ATS on the road this year and 13-6 ATS after a non-conference game. And note that this is a position in which the Hawks have actually struggled in, they're a poor 3-4 ATS this season after allowing 85 points or less (coming off a 93-82 win over the Pistons on Monday). While I won't be so bold as to call for an outright win, I do think that the writing is on the wall and a competitive game is in the cards, grab as many points as you can with the PACERS.
AAA Sports
