This is a 6* MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Some times I feel it's necessary to completely dissect a game, looking at situational, motivational and strong trend based reasons to back up my analysis and in others, I believe that a more common sense approach is the best way to handicap a game, and that's the case here as I finally look for the home side to come in focused on the task at hand, to avenge an earlier loss and to ultimately find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. The Leafs are looking to avoid their longest skid of the year and as I always like to say, desperation breeds motivation; note that Toronto is 3-1 (+2.2 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses. And note that this is a spot that Carolina has really struggled in for bettors, it's just 10-12 (-2.2 units) in its last 22 vs. teams with winning records. In my opinion, the desperation level in which the home side will be playing with today absolutely justifies in laying what I deem to be an extremely reasonable mid-sized price.

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