PREMIUM
AAA's 10* TOTAL "ART OF WAR!" (+$49,000 NBA RUN s/ 2013!)
(NBA) Cleveland vs. LA Lakers,
Total: 205.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 205.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the LA Lakers.
For a number of different reasons, including situational, motivational, strong trend based factors and lop-sided numbers that we can take advantage of, I am expecting this total to eclipse the posted total as the game comes down the stretch. From a situational stand point, this is a great play in my opinion. The Lakers are 12-27 overall, including 6-14 at home. Cleveland is 19-20 overall, including 8-11 on the road. It's safe to say that neither club can be very happy with where they are at this point of the season. But as I like to say, "desperation breeds motivation", I think these two desperate teams come to play today and expect this focus and energy to translate into production on the floor. Situation and motivation collide for both teams. I am primarily a situational handicapper at heart, but I don't follow any one particular handicapping methodology to the letter and believe that remaining flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure longterm profits. That said, one angle that I always like to take advantage of is "lop-sided" numbers or trends. While the law of averages is flawed in many ways, I have always believed that numbers/streaks have a way of naturally "correcting" themselves over the short, mid and long term and that's the case here. Note that Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight straight and in 11 of its last 12. And note that LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in six straight overall. That's 14 straight UNDERS played between the teams, making this a very strong "lopsided" trend that we can take advantage of. And finally, from an O/U trend based stand point, they simply don't get much better than this, as note that Cleveland has seen the total go OVER the number in 17 of its last 27 after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERS, while LA has seen it sail above the posted number in four of five as a home dog in the 3.5 to 6 points range this year. Three crucial factors collide making today's 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the "OVER" in this matchup.
AAA Sports
For a number of different reasons, including situational, motivational, strong trend based factors and lop-sided numbers that we can take advantage of, I am expecting this total to eclipse the posted total as the game comes down the stretch. From a situational stand point, this is a great play in my opinion. The Lakers are 12-27 overall, including 6-14 at home. Cleveland is 19-20 overall, including 8-11 on the road. It's safe to say that neither club can be very happy with where they are at this point of the season. But as I like to say, "desperation breeds motivation", I think these two desperate teams come to play today and expect this focus and energy to translate into production on the floor. Situation and motivation collide for both teams. I am primarily a situational handicapper at heart, but I don't follow any one particular handicapping methodology to the letter and believe that remaining flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure longterm profits. That said, one angle that I always like to take advantage of is "lop-sided" numbers or trends. While the law of averages is flawed in many ways, I have always believed that numbers/streaks have a way of naturally "correcting" themselves over the short, mid and long term and that's the case here. Note that Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight straight and in 11 of its last 12. And note that LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in six straight overall. That's 14 straight UNDERS played between the teams, making this a very strong "lopsided" trend that we can take advantage of. And finally, from an O/U trend based stand point, they simply don't get much better than this, as note that Cleveland has seen the total go OVER the number in 17 of its last 27 after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERS, while LA has seen it sail above the posted number in four of five as a home dog in the 3.5 to 6 points range this year. Three crucial factors collide making today's 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the "OVER" in this matchup.
AAA Sports
