This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on San Jose State.

For a number of different reasons (mainly strong trend based ones), I believe that the home side will keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. San Jose State will certainly be the "hungrier" team today after back to back losses, including a 78-56 setback at Air Force and 74-40 loss at UNLV. Fresno State comes into this game with an 8-9 overall record, but a 3-1 mark in MW play, most recently beating Utah State and Nevada; I think this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the visitors. Also note that SJSU plays with "revenge" here after falling 69-56 in last year's MW regular-season finale at The Event Center. But as mentioned off the top, this play is mainly based on strong ATS trends, note that Fresno State is a poor 1-4 ATS on the road this year, while SJSU is a powerful 2-1 ATS this season off a loss vs. a conference rival. While I won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset here, I do think that SAN JOSE STATE sneaks in through the back door down the stretch.

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