PREMIUM
AAA's EARLY 10* *Ravens/Patriots* BLOCKBUSTER (+$8,740 NFL Y-T-D!)
(NFL) Baltimore vs. New England,
Point Spread: -7.00 | 105.00 New England (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -7.00 | 105.00 New England (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the New England Patriots.
I played the Ravens last week and they would go on to upset the Steelers 30-17 in Pittsburgh. Pulling off another epic upset on the road is not in the cards in my opinion, I believe that home field advantage is a big factor today and expect the determined Patriots to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. What more can be said about these teams that hasn't literally been said millions of times by all the "talking heads" across the nation for the last 15 years? If you are wagering on this game, you are clearly a fan of the NFL and don't need to be told by me about the obvious strengths and weaknesses of each side. I am not a coach, a scout or a player evaluator. I am a professional sports handicapper. Some handicappers look at individual player matchups, while others (like myself), are "situational" prognosticators, which means that for the most part, it doesn't matter who is on the field of play. And that's definitely the case for me, 95% of the time I base my picks on "situations", which includes motivational factors and scheduling etc. It's hard to win on the road in the NFL and it's extremely difficult to win away from friendly confines in the Playoffs. Are the Ravens a team of destiny? In my opinion, the answer is clearly: no! New England struggled to start the year but a rejuvinated Tom Brady would turn his performance around and the Pats would win 10 of their last 12 SU. Note that Baltimore is just 1-4 ATS this year after two or more consecutive SU wins, while New England is 8-2 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the PATRIOTS as the savvy move in this one.
AAA Sports
I played the Ravens last week and they would go on to upset the Steelers 30-17 in Pittsburgh. Pulling off another epic upset on the road is not in the cards in my opinion, I believe that home field advantage is a big factor today and expect the determined Patriots to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. What more can be said about these teams that hasn't literally been said millions of times by all the "talking heads" across the nation for the last 15 years? If you are wagering on this game, you are clearly a fan of the NFL and don't need to be told by me about the obvious strengths and weaknesses of each side. I am not a coach, a scout or a player evaluator. I am a professional sports handicapper. Some handicappers look at individual player matchups, while others (like myself), are "situational" prognosticators, which means that for the most part, it doesn't matter who is on the field of play. And that's definitely the case for me, 95% of the time I base my picks on "situations", which includes motivational factors and scheduling etc. It's hard to win on the road in the NFL and it's extremely difficult to win away from friendly confines in the Playoffs. Are the Ravens a team of destiny? In my opinion, the answer is clearly: no! New England struggled to start the year but a rejuvinated Tom Brady would turn his performance around and the Pats would win 10 of their last 12 SU. Note that Baltimore is just 1-4 ATS this year after two or more consecutive SU wins, while New England is 8-2 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the PATRIOTS as the savvy move in this one.
AAA Sports
